Win Percentage

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What is EE Win Percentage?

Close-up screenshot of the Win Percentage metric within EquinEdge

Our Win Percentage Metric represents the probability that a specific horse will win a particular race. This percentage is calculated using comprehensive data from the horse's past races and workouts, combined with information about the jockey, trainer, owner, breeder, and the horse's relatives' past performances.

A higher win percentage means a greater likelihood of winning. For example, a horse with a 30% win percentage is expected to win 30 out of 100 similar races. When comparing two horses, the one with the higher win percentage is generally more likely to win.

Using Win Percentages Effectively:

  1. Cumulative Probability: If you have multiple horses in a race, you can sum their win percentages to gauge your overall chance of winning. For instance, if Horse A has a 33% win percentage, Horse B has 17%, and Horse C has 15%, your combined chance of one of your horses winning the race is 65%. Using this approach can help you understand the overall strength of your selections in a given race.
  2. Making Decisions: While our win percentage is a powerful metric, it's essential to consider other factors too. Horses with similar win percentages may require further analysis using additional data provided by EquinEdge, such as Past Performances, Pace, Genetic Strength Rating (GsR) and Strength of Race (SoR).
  3. Actual Performance Statistics: Horses with the highest Win Percentage have won 32.9% of the time. One of our top two Win Percentage horses have won 52.7% of the time.
  4. Understanding Probabilities: Its important to remember that a Win Percentage is a probability, not a guarantee. A horse with a 30% Win Percentage still has a 70% chance of not winning. Use this Metric to make informed decisions rather than expecting certain outcomes.
  5. Context Matters: Use win percentages in conjunction with other EquinEdge tools for the best results. This metric provides solid, reliable information, but effective race handicapping requires a comprehensive approach.

EquinEdge's win percentage metric is a valuable tool, providing accurate, data-driven insights to help you make informed decisions without the need to sell or exaggerate its capabilities.

-Last Updated Numbers: 6/26/2024

-Last Updated Algorithm: 2/22/2024

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FAQs

How is EE Win Percentage calculated? We analyze comprehensive historical data from the horse's past races, workouts and various factors such as jockey, trainer, breeder and the horse's relatives. This sophisticated analysis condenses all the information that generally takes hours to handicap manually into a single, reliable probability of winning. By leveraging these advanced technologies, we provide you with a Win Percentage that reflects a highly accurate and efficient way to assess a horse's chance, far surpassing traditional handicapping methods in both speed and accuracy.

Can I rely solely on the Win Percentage to make my betting decisions better? While our Win Percentages are are a powerful indicator, it's best used in combination with our other metrics such as GsR, SoR, Pace, EE Ml. This holistic approach will give you a moreaccurate picture of a horse's changes of winning.

How often are our EE Win Percentage Algorithm's updated? We post our EE Win Percentages approximately every six months. This allows our users to see how we have performed throughout the year.